Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.005683 0.006277 0.006922 0.007676 0.008536 0.009492 0.010638
2025-10-05 0.004702 0.005514 0.006465 0.007671 0.009176 0.011012 0.013452
2025-10-12 0.004210 0.005137 0.006280 0.007815 0.009855 0.012523 0.016359
2025-10-19 0.003771 0.004741 0.005985 0.007729 0.010167 0.013539 0.018716
2025-10-26 0.003442 0.004435 0.005752 0.007668 0.010466 0.014534 0.021164
2025-11-02 0.003153 0.004148 0.005504 0.007542 0.010631 0.015325 0.023400
2025-11-09 0.002960 0.003971 0.005384 0.007573 0.011016 0.016481 0.026407
2025-11-16 0.002761 0.003766 0.005203 0.007488 0.011199 0.017321 0.029004
2025-11-23 0.002564 0.003547 0.004979 0.007309 0.011201 0.017847 0.031109
2025-11-30 0.002455 0.003448 0.004925 0.007388 0.011633 0.019166 0.034987
2025-12-07 0.002398 0.003421 0.004977 0.007641 0.012386 0.021169 0.040690
2025-12-14 0.002265 0.003269 0.004819 0.007527 0.012470 0.021911 0.043831
2025-12-21 0.002132 0.003113 0.004652 0.007394 0.012531 0.022673 0.047345
2025-12-28 0.002034 0.003008 0.004562 0.007391 0.012843 0.024012 0.052658
2026-01-04 0.001972 0.002955 0.004552 0.007528 0.013441 0.026058 0.060398
2026-01-11 0.001876 0.002840 0.004430 0.007447 0.013586 0.027123 0.065813
2026-01-18 0.001793 0.002741 0.004326 0.007389 0.013772 0.028312 0.071985
2026-01-25 0.001706 0.002631 0.004197 0.007268 0.013807 0.029144 0.077352
2026-02-01 0.001649 0.002569 0.004146 0.007298 0.014175 0.030869 0.086277
2026-02-08 0.001580 0.002481 0.004045 0.007216 0.014282 0.031941 0.093395
2026-02-15 0.001503 0.002376 0.003906 0.007046 0.014163 0.032393 0.098443
2026-02-22 0.001465 0.002338 0.003886 0.007121 0.014634 0.034565 0.111136
2026-03-01 0.001451 0.002340 0.003943 0.007362 0.015538 0.038177 0.131799